Oscar Predictions: Music, Writing, and some other “Best Pictures”


That’s right, readers! Another slew of predictions of who we think will take home that golden statuette this Sunday! Here are our thoughts on some more categories at this year’s Oscars…

Best Original Score
The Book Thief-John Williams
Gravity-Steven Price
Her-William Butler and Owen Pallett
Philomena-Alexandre Desplat
Saving Mr. Banks-Thomas Newman

These are all fine scores in their own regard (Yes, even The Book Thief, it’s sole nomination at the awards), but the race is really between two of these competitors; Gravity and Her. Steven Price and his Gravity score have the edge, as there’s is the more popular film, and so much of the film relies on the power of the score to sustain Sandra Bullock floating through space for 90 minutes. But of course, Her is beautifully scored by Butler and Pallett from Arcade Fire, with a score that pulsates and provides a noticeable auditory heartbeat to the film. It skews towards a younger crowd though, so the edge is more towards Gravity

Predicted Winner: Gravity, unless the Academy wants to be “cool” and choose Her.

Best Original Song
Happy-Despicable Me 2
Let it Go-Frozen
The Moon Song-Her
Ordinary Love-Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom

All the nominees in the song category have their own respective strength, just like with the Score category, and I can actually imagine any of them winning (well, except for The Moon Song, which is sweet in the context of the film, but doesn’t translate as a stand-along song). “Ordinary Love” has a slight edge since it is (a) a U2 song, and (b) it won the Golden Globe, though that hasn’t always translated to an Oscar win in the past. In the end though, I would say it’s a toss-up between “Let it Go,” the most popular song from a Disney song in what seems like YEARS, and “Happy,” which is likely the catchiest and joyous songs of the nominees. I would say it’s neck and neck, either of those two could win, but because of its immense popularity, I’ll go with “Let it Go.”

Predicted Winner: Let it Go, but don’t be surprised if Happy wins.

Best Documentary
20 Feet from Stardom
The Act of Killing
Cutie and the Boxer
Dirty Wars
The Square

While all the nominees are definitely worthy competitors, this category seems to be a race between a popular choice and a more critical/artsy choice, that being 20 Feet from Stardom and The Act of Killing, respectively. I’m giving the edge to Killing, just because of the acclaim and attention it’s been getting, though as I said, Stardom has definitely been gaining traction as the more popular choice.

Predicted Winner: The Act of Killing. 20 Feet from Stardom is your spoiler.

Best Foreign Language Film
The Broken Circle Breakdown
The Great Beauty
The Hunt
The Missing Picture

The heat is on The Great Beauty, which won the Golden Globe in this same category, but you best also look out for The Broken Circle Breakdown, a bluegrass movie-musical that’s also gaining popularity (Note: Yes, I clearly have only been picking up on other people’s thoughts on these films and haven’t actually seen them. It’s a busy time of year folks, what can I do).

Predicted Winner: The Great Beauty, with The Broken Circle Breakdown as your dark horse.

Best Animated Film
The Croods
Despicable Me 2
Ernest and Celestine
The Wind Rises

A very fun bunch of nominees here! One could make the argument for The Wind Rises, it being Hayao Miyazaki’s final film, but there’s no denying the popularity of Frozen. Plus, it is a pretty damn good movie, and it blows the competition out of the water.

Predicted Winner: Frozen by a mile.

Best Adapted Screenplay
12 Years a Slave
Before Midnight
Captain Phillips
The Wolf of Wall Street

It’s a shame that Terence Winter’s fun and ambitious Wolf screenplay has lost any sort of momentum in this category, as we’re looking at a race between 12 Years a Slave and Philomena. Steve Coogan and Jeff Pope definitely crafted a wonderful story from Martin Sixsmith’s book, and they have the BAFTA to boot. But my money is on John Ridley’s screenplay for 12 Years a Slave, taking Solomon Northup’s memoir and creating a rich tapestry of characters and scenes for the silver screen.

Predicted Winner: 12 Years a Slave, with Philomena slowly gaining traction…

Best Original Screenplay
American Hustle
Blue Jasmine
Dallas Buyers Club

With its originality, heartbreak, and humor, Spike Jonze and his original screenplay for Her seem to be the obvious choice here, even with worthy nominees like Woody Allen’s Blue Jasmine screenplay, and Bob Nelson’s kooky Nebraska screenplay. But for whatever reason, people may be charmed (or hustled, if you want to go with that hideous pun) by the “screenplay” for American Hustle, or they may, for whatever reason, think David O. Russell is “overdue” for an award. Given that the majority of the film was improvised anyway (it shows), giving this award to Hustle would be a travesty. Let’s please reward Her.

Predicted Winner: Her, though American Hustle is also a contender for some reason.

2 thoughts on “Oscar Predictions: Music, Writing, and some other “Best Pictures”

  1. Pingback: (Pop) Culturally Informed | Oscar Predictions: The Big Ones

  2. Pingback: (Pop) Culturally Informed | Our Guide to the Oscars!

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